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Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady, Signals Two Cuts in 2025

The Fed projects slower growth and higher inflation as Trump's tariffs contribute to economic uncertainty.

Pedestrians wait for a street signal on a sidewalk as an electronic billboard shows the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes in Shanghai, China January 21, 2025.  REUTERS/Go Nakamura/File Photo
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An eagle tops the U.S. Federal Reserve building's facade in Washington, July 31, 2013. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/File Photo
U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 19, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Overview

  • The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5%, citing elevated economic uncertainty.
  • Economic growth for 2025 is now forecasted at 1.7%, down from 2.1%, while inflation expectations have risen to 2.7%.
  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that tariffs are contributing to inflation and delaying progress toward price stability.
  • The central bank plans to slow its balance sheet reduction, allowing only $5 billion of Treasurys to mature monthly.
  • Financial markets reacted positively to the Fed's cautious stance, with the S&P 500 rising 1.08% following the announcement.