Overview
- The Fed kept its benchmark federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25–4.50% for the fourth straight meeting.
- Real GDP contracted at a 0.2% annualized rate in the first quarter while employers added 139,000 nonfarm jobs in May and unemployment remained at 4.2%.
- The personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2.1% year-over-year in April with the core PCE gauge at 2.5%.
- Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the need to assess the impact of trade tariffs after resisting pressure from President Trump to lower borrowing costs.
- Despite holding rates now, officials anticipate two reductions before year-end as the ECB has moved in the opposite direction by cutting its main refinancing rate to 2%.