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Federal Reserve Expected to Hold Rates Steady as Economic Projections Awaited

Chair Jerome Powell likely to adopt a cautious tone as the Fed balances inflation risks from tariffs with market expectations for rate cuts.

  • The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its March meeting, maintaining its 'not-in-a-hurry' stance on rate cuts.
  • Updated economic projections will be released, including forecasts for growth, inflation, employment, and interest rates, which may highlight inflationary pressures from new trade tariffs.
  • Analysts predict inflation forecasts could rise, with core PCE inflation potentially reaching 2.8% in 2025, while growth projections may be revised downward.
  • Market expectations for rate cuts later in the year diverge from the Fed's December 2024 projections, which indicated only two 25-basis-point cuts in 2025.
  • Chair Jerome Powell is expected to communicate cautiously to avoid market turbulence and political friction, emphasizing the Fed's dual mandate of stable inflation and employment.
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