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Federal EV Tax Credits Expire Sept. 30, Triggering Last‑Minute Buying Rush and Inventory Strain

Dealers report IRS rules allow pre‑deadline contracts to lock in incentives even if vehicles arrive later.

Overview

  • The $7,500 credit for new EVs and $4,000 for used models end on Sept. 30 under the Trump administration’s “Big Beautiful Bill.”
  • Marketplace and showroom activity have surged as the cutoff approaches, with Cars.com reporting demand up 33% for new EVs and 22% for used, and some Midwest dealers seeing EVs rise to 25–30% of sales.
  • Dealer associations say buyers can preserve eligibility by signing binding purchase contracts before the deadline, even if delivery occurs afterward, provided the paperwork is completed in time.
  • Economists and industry analysts warn of a post‑deadline slowdown, including a projected 27% drop in EV sales and fewer product launches, with some manufacturers already slowing or delaying programs such as Ford’s BlueOval City work in Tennessee.
  • States are assessing exposure as Tennessee tallies more than $16 billion in EV investment and 191,000 vehicles produced, while California officials say they will not replace the federal credit with a new state rebate.