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Fed Rate Cuts Likely Delayed Despite Softer Inflation Data

Recent inflation metrics show easing pressures, but persistent challenges and policy uncertainties complicate the Federal Reserve's path forward.

  • December's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to an annual rate of 2.9%, while core inflation dropped to 3.2%, the lowest in over three years.
  • Analysts suggest the Federal Reserve will likely hold rates steady at its January meeting, with the first potential rate cut anticipated in May 2025.
  • Factors such as rising oil prices, consumer psychology, and proposed tariffs under the incoming Trump administration may sustain inflationary pressures.
  • Despite recent easing, inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target, with core services like housing and medical care contributing to stubborn price levels.
  • Economists caution that volatility and mixed economic data will challenge the Fed's ability to balance inflation control with economic growth.
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