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Fed Proposes Full Disclosure of Bank Stress-Test Models

The plan invites public feedback on the Fed’s scenarios, modeling choices to reduce volatile capital buffers.

An eagle tops the U.S. Federal Reserve building's facade in Washington, July 31, 2013. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/File Photo
The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022. REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger

Overview

  • The Federal Reserve published a proposal to release the back-end models behind its annual bank stress tests and said the board will vote on it later Friday.
  • The draft rule would disclose equations, variables and coefficients, detail the scenario design process and preview future scenarios for public comment through January 22, 2026.
  • Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, who has pushed for reforms, said the program has suffered from limited transparency and excessive year-to-year volatility without a meaningful appeals process.
  • Governors Christopher Waller and Stephan Miran voiced support for greater transparency, Chair Jerome Powell noted the commitment to improved disclosure, and Governor Michael Barr opposed the package as weakening the test and potentially lowering capital.
  • Analysts say a more predictable regime could let banks hold less excess capital and more confidently allocate funds to lending, dividends or share buybacks, a change long sought by industry groups that sued over the prior approach.