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Fed Officials Signal Shift Toward Early Interest Rate Cuts

Sluggish labor market signals coupled with uncertain tariff-driven price pressures are prompting calls for policy easing by Fed officials.

Overview

  • Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said two quarter-point cuts by year-end would be reasonable given the U.S. economy’s recent slowdown.
  • He cited a weak July jobs report and downward revisions to prior employment data as evidence that growth is cooling.
  • Kashkari warned that unclear timing of tariff effects on consumer prices adds urgency to the case for rate reductions.
  • Two Federal Open Market Committee dissents in July reflected concerns that rising import tariffs could keep inflation elevated.
  • San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said the central bank cannot wait for perfect clarity and will likely need to ease policy in coming months.