Overview
- Labor Department revisions show job gains slowed to a three-month average of 35,000 and unemployment ticked up to 4.2%, highlighting labor-market fragility.
- Vice Chair Michelle Bowman said the weak jobs data reinforce her forecast for three interest-rate cuts in 2025 and urged easing to begin in September.
- Several regional Fed presidents, including Mary Daly and Raphael Bostic, have voiced openness or impatience for a rate cut as soon as the next meeting.
- Financial markets have priced in significant policy easing by year-end, betting on at least a half-percentage-point reduction in rates.
- Chair Jerome Powell maintains a data-dependent stance, emphasizing the need to assess the inflationary impact of new tariffs before cutting rates.