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Fed Officials Signal Openness to September Rate Cuts as Labor Market Softens

They argue that cooling payrolls coupled with contained tariff-driven inflation mean any easing in mid-September will depend entirely on incoming data.

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly poses for a photograph at the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank's annual Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, U.S. August 25, 2023. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo
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Overview

  • Mary Daly said mounting evidence of a softening job market and absence of persistent tariff-driven inflation bring rate cuts closer at the September FOMC meeting.
  • Daly emphasized that every future FOMC meeting will be “live” for potential policy adjustments, underscoring flexibility in the timing of cuts.
  • She maintained that the two quarter-point cuts penciled in for 2025 remain appropriate while cautioning that more or fewer reductions might be needed based on forthcoming economic readings.
  • John Williams said he approaches the September meeting with an open mind on easing and will base any decision strictly on labor and inflation data.
  • Both officials reaffirmed that policy moves depend on fresh economic readings rather than preset timelines as the Fed weighs its dual mandate.