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Fed Maintains Rate on Tariff-Driven Uncertainty as Trump Demands Cuts

Legal safeguards from Supreme Court rulings combined with FOMC appointment limits have insulated the Fed’s data-driven policy from President Trump’s demands.

U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks on tariffs in the Rose Garden at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo

Overview

  • Powell reiterated that interest-rate decisions will rely on economic data and central bank surveys rather than political pressure.
  • Recent surveys by the Atlanta and Richmond Fed, Duke University and Dun & Bradstreet showed executives plan to raise prices in response to tariff-driven supply chain strains.
  • Trump postponed tariff increases until August 1 and signaled he will nominate a rate-cut advocate to replace Powell.
  • The U.S. Supreme Court confirmed the president cannot remove a Fed chair without cause, reinforcing leadership tenure protections.
  • Presidential appointments will fill only two of the 12 voting seats on the FOMC over the next four years, limiting direct White House influence.