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Fed Holds Rates Steady at 4.25%–4.50% With First Double Dissent in 30 Years

White House scrutiny over rates combined with tariff-driven Q2 GDP swings has complicated the Fed’s outlook as investors price in a September cut.

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A trader works on the trading floor at The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 18, 2024. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo

Overview

  • Two Fed board members, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, voted to cut rates, marking the first double dissent on the board since 1993.
  • Chair Powell reiterated a data-dependent stance, citing lingering inflation concerns and economic uncertainty.
  • Second-quarter GDP grew at a 3% annual rate, but the gain largely reflected a sharp drop in imports after tariff-related front-loading.
  • President Trump used his Truth Social platform to press for immediate rate cuts following the GDP report, intensifying political pressure on the Fed.
  • U.S. stock futures held near equilibrium after the decision, with traders now assigning about a 60% likelihood to a rate reduction in September.