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Fed Holds Rates Steady as U.S. Trade Talks and AI Export Policy Shift Markets

The Federal Reserve warns of inflation and unemployment risks from tariffs while markets rally on U.S.-U.K. trade deal anticipation and AI chip export rule changes.

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Overview

  • The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%–4.5% and highlighted risks of higher inflation and unemployment linked to ongoing tariffs.
  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the central bank's independence from political pressure and its reliance on economic data for monetary decisions.
  • Markets rallied as President Trump announced an imminent U.S.-U.K. trade deal and weekend trade talks with China aimed at tariff de-escalation.
  • The Trump administration plans to modify Biden-era restrictions on AI chip exports, boosting tech stocks like Nvidia and Broadcom.
  • Investors remain cautious as stagflation fears grow, with the Fed signaling a wait-and-see approach to future rate adjustments amid economic uncertainty.