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Fed Holds Rates at 3.75%–4.00% After Divided Vote

Inflation remains elevated with incoming data, notably September's PCE, set to determine whether policymakers raise rates in December.

Overview

  • The Federal Open Market Committee voted 10–2 on Wednesday to keep the target federal funds rate at 3.75%–4.00%.
  • Two members, Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, dissented and preferred an immediate 25‑basis‑point increase.
  • The Fed upgraded its view of U.S. activity to “strong” while warning that inflation stays high and that it will collect more information before changing policy.
  • Markets largely expected the pause for October and quickly pushed up the odds of a 25‑bp move in December, prompting mixed reactions across U.S. stock indexes.
  • Officials said September's PCE price index and fresh GDP readings, due Thursday, will be decisive for the December 8–9 meeting and could influence global borrowing costs and emerging‑market spreads.