Particle.news
Download on the App Store

Fed Holds Rates at 3.50%–3.75% in 10–2 Vote as Powell Stresses Data-Dependent Path

Futures now point to June as the earliest likely window for any additional cuts.

Overview

  • Officials paused after three 25-basis-point reductions in late 2025 and removed language that emphasized downside risks to employment.
  • The statement cited solid growth, low job gains with signs of unemployment stabilizing, and inflation that remains somewhat elevated.
  • Governors Stephen Miran and Christopher Waller dissented in favor of a quarter-point cut, breaking with the majority’s decision to hold.
  • Powell declined to set a specific test for future moves and highlighted meeting-by-meeting decisions while defending the Fed’s independence as the DOJ probes his testimony and a case over Governor Lisa Cook proceeds at the Supreme Court.
  • Markets showed mixed signals as the S&P 500 briefly topped 7,000 and Treasury yields edged higher, with CME FedWatch indicating investors largely expect no further adjustment before June; Powell’s term ends in May and prediction markets have floated Rick Rieder and others as possible successors.