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Fed Hawks Push Back on More Cuts After 25-Point Move

Two senior regional presidents say inflation remains too high to justify further easing during a federal data blackout.

Overview

  • The Fed lowered its policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00% in a 10–2 vote, with Governor Stephen Miran seeking a larger half-point cut and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid opposing any cut.
  • Schmid said recent reports point to roughly 2.8% inflation on the Fed’s preferred gauge and described price pressures as widening across goods and services, including rising healthcare and insurance costs.
  • He argued the economy still shows momentum, monetary policy is only modestly restrictive, and the labor market is largely in balance, so a small cut would not meaningfully address labor stresses.
  • Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said this week’s reduction was not warranted and signaled she would resist a December cut without clear evidence of faster disinflation or a sharper labor-market cooling; she is not a voter this year.
  • With official data releases halted by the government shutdown, policymakers are leaning on private indicators and business contacts, and Chair Jerome Powell has said another reduction in December is not a foregone conclusion.