Overview
- In a Yahoo Finance interview, Stephen Miran said interest rates are above neutral and that, barring surprises, a December cut would make sense.
- Miran called ADP’s report of 42,000 private jobs added in October a welcome surprise relative to expectations.
- A prolonged government shutdown has paused official economic releases, pushing policymakers to lean more on private data.
- The federal funds target stands at 3.75% to 4.00% after last week’s quarter-point cut, and Powell cautioned another move in December is not a foregone conclusion.
- Miran warned that uncertainty around President Trump’s tariff policy, now before the Supreme Court, could weigh on the economy.