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Fed Delivers First 2025 Rate Cut, Signals More Easing This Year

Powell frames the move as risk management to guard against labor‑market weakening.

Overview

  • The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 4.00%–4.25%, the first cut since December 2024 after a nine‑month pause.
  • Projections point to roughly two additional 25‑basis‑point reductions in 2025, though Powell said no path is pre‑set.
  • The vote was 11–1, with Trump‑backed governor Stephen I. Miran dissenting in favor of a 50‑basis‑point cut.
  • The statement says inflation remains elevated and that downside risks to employment have increased, reaffirming the dual mandate.
  • The Fed raised its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1.6% and Powell emphasized the central bank’s independence despite political pressure.