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Fed Cuts Rates Again to 3.75%–4% as Labor Risks Rise

Powell says a December cut is not a foregone conclusion given scant data during the shutdown.

Overview

  • The FOMC lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75%–4.00% target range, marking a second consecutive reduction.
  • The vote was 10–2, with Stephen Miran favoring a 0.50-point cut and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid preferring no change.
  • The policy statement cited slowing job gains and rising downside risks to employment, while inflation near 3% remains above the 2% goal.
  • With key reports delayed by the government shutdown, officials leaned on private data, a delayed CPI release, and Fed surveys to assess conditions.
  • The Fed also moved to shore up liquidity, planning to halt balance-sheet runoff on Dec. 1 and reinvest maturing mortgage-backed securities into Treasury bills.