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Fed and BoE Maintain Rates as Israel-Iran Conflict Deepens

Markets reflect heightened uncertainty after central banks cited geopolitical risks in holding rates.

La Banque d’Angleterre, le 2 novembre 2022 à Londres
Traders sur le parquet du New York Stock Exchange le 16 juin 2025.
Un opérateur à la Bourse de New York le 18 juin 2025.
La Fed n’a pas abaissé ses taux ce mercredi 18 juin.

Overview

  • The Federal Reserve kept rates at 4.25–4.50% for the fourth straight meeting after downgrading its 2025 GDP growth outlook to 1.4%, also projecting two rate cuts this year.
  • The Bank of England held its policy rate at 4.25% in a 6–3 vote, with Governor Andrew Bailey flagging energy price pressures and signs of UK labour market cooling.
  • Investors tracked the seventh day of Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and weighed President Trump’s comments that US military involvement remained possible.
  • The US dollar has lost roughly 10% versus the euro over six months as gold surged nearly 30% since January on safe-haven flows.
  • Paris’s CAC 40 dropped 1.34% Thursday following a 0.36% decline Wednesday, with investors fearing US involvement could push oil prices higher.