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February Inflation Slows to 2.8%, Raising Hopes for Future Fed Rate Cuts

Easing price pressures spark optimism, but trade uncertainty and regional disparities complicate the outlook.

  • The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.8% year-over-year in February, marking a slowdown from January's 3% increase and the lowest rate in four months.
  • Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, declined to 3.1% annually, its slowest pace since April 2021.
  • Falling energy prices and easing shelter costs contributed to the decline, though food prices, especially eggs, remain elevated compared to pre-2024 levels.
  • Economists warn that new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration could reverse disinflationary trends and create uncertainty for businesses and consumers.
  • The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady in March but may consider rate cuts by June if inflation continues to ease and labor market conditions remain stable.
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