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FDA Signals Possible Shift on Black Box Warning for Menopause Hormone Therapy

The review follows expert advice to drop the box for certain low-dose local products.

Overview

  • FDA Commissioner Martin Makary said the agency is in serious discussions and that an update is coming soon, speaking on CNN's Chasing Life podcast.
  • The boxed warning has appeared since 2003 on all estrogen therapies, flagging risks such as breast and uterine cancer, blood clots, stroke, and dementia in women over 65.
  • The warning was based on Women’s Health Initiative results in older women, while later analyses suggest lower risks for those who start therapy closer to menopause.
  • Use of hormone therapy has fallen by more than 70% since the warning, dropping from roughly 1 in 4 postmenopausal women in the late 1990s to about 1 in 25 today.
  • Experts note risks vary by formulation, with pills linked to higher risk than patches or creams, and some urge caution against promoting long-term preventive uses without more research.