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Farmers’ Almanac Forecasts ‘Chill, Snow, Repeat’ Season With Early Cold and Two Mid-Winter Snaps

Experts caution that long-range event forecasts lack reliability; NOAA’s evolving ENSO outlook may point to a different pattern in the southern U.S.

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Overview

  • The Farmers’ Almanac released its 2025–2026 winter outlook under the slogan “Chill, Snow, Repeat,” warning of cold and snow as early as September in parts of the U.S.
  • Forecast maps show the coldest outbreaks stretching from the Northern Plains to New England and parts of Canada, with heavy snow prospects for the Pacific Northwest, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
  • Two pronounced cold snaps are predicted in mid-January and again in mid-February, potentially sending frigid air nationwide well into 2026.
  • Almanac editors credit a centuries-old proprietary formula based on solar activity, lunar cycles and other historical correlations, with their forecaster known only as “Caleb Weatherbee.”
  • Operational meteorologists note the Almanac’s month-by-month accuracy hovers near chance at about 50%, and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center will track emerging La Niña conditions that could contradict regional forecasts such as a wetter-than-average winter in Texas.