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Far-Right Poll Results Deepen Divisions Within Rassemblement National

An IFOP survey shows the RN leading the first round for 2027, but its funding and candidate selection process have fueled internal disputes between Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella.

Overview

  • The IFOP poll for the Hexagone observatory places the Rassemblement National as the frontrunner in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election, with 32–35% of voting intentions.
  • Second-round scenarios show Jordan Bardella tied with Édouard Philippe at 50% and narrowly defeating Gabriel Attal, while Marine Le Pen is projected to lose to Philippe 48%–52%.
  • The poll's funding by billionaire Pierre-Édouard Stérin and the initial exclusion of Le Pen as a candidate have sparked allegations of favoritism toward Bardella within the RN.
  • Le Pen’s staff intervened to include her in the survey, which initially tested only Bardella, further exposing strategic and personal tensions within the party.
  • The survey, conducted among over 9,000 voters in April, highlights the RN’s dominance but also underscores the challenges posed by internal disputes and leadership uncertainties.