Overview
- The IFOP poll for the Hexagone observatory places the Rassemblement National as the frontrunner in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election, with 32–35% of voting intentions.
- Second-round scenarios show Jordan Bardella tied with Édouard Philippe at 50% and narrowly defeating Gabriel Attal, while Marine Le Pen is projected to lose to Philippe 48%–52%.
- The poll's funding by billionaire Pierre-Édouard Stérin and the initial exclusion of Le Pen as a candidate have sparked allegations of favoritism toward Bardella within the RN.
- Le Pen’s staff intervened to include her in the survey, which initially tested only Bardella, further exposing strategic and personal tensions within the party.
- The survey, conducted among over 9,000 voters in April, highlights the RN’s dominance but also underscores the challenges posed by internal disputes and leadership uncertainties.