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Extreme Heat Tied to Early Learning Setbacks in New Multi‑Country Study

Exposure to average maximum temperatures above 30°C corresponds to a 5%–6.7% lower likelihood that 3‑ to 4‑year‑olds reach basic literacy and numeracy milestones.

Overview

  • The peer‑reviewed findings appear in the Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry with lead authors from New York University.
  • Researchers analyzed 19,607 children aged three to four across Gambia, Georgia, Madagascar, Malawi, Palestine and Sierra Leone.
  • Development was measured using the Early Childhood Development Index alongside 2017–2020 MICS household data linked to monthly temperature records.
  • The heat‑related shortfalls were larger for children from lower‑income households, families with limited access to clean water, and those living in urban areas.
  • Lead author Jorge Cuartas urges urgent research and policy responses, as Copernicus reports indicate 2025 is likely among the warmest years on record with a potential three‑year stretch above 1.5°C.