Overview

• Junta president María Guardiola says she will call early elections if the 2026 budget is voted down after already having to extend the previous accounts.
• The regional government has registered a reform to make mandates last four years even after a snap vote, a change that requires 33 of 65 Assembly votes.
• PP leaders in Madrid are preparing contingencies, including a possible joint regional election in March 2026 with Aragón and Castilla y León, though national campaign machinery is not yet fully activated.
• Vox is keeping hard budget conditions, skipped an initial Extremadura meeting that included PSOE, and says any early vote is Guardiola’s prerogative.
• If the budget fails, Spain’s 54‑day legal notice points to late 2025 or early 2026 for an election, and local sources say PSOE leader Miguel Ángel Gallardo’s pending trial could overlap with a campaign.