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Experts Warn $38 Trillion U.S. Debt Has Become a National Security Crisis

New essays and interviews press for revenue increases alongside gradual entitlement changes via a bipartisan commission.

Overview

  • Federal debt has reached about $38 trillion, equal to roughly 120%–125% of GDP, according to analyses released this week.
  • Annual net interest costs are near $1 trillion and now exceed U.S. defense spending.
  • Richard Haass characterizes the situation as a national security crisis, outlining a slow‑motion decline risk and a potential market “cliff” from lost confidence or geopolitical coercion.
  • Experts warn debt service is crowding out domestic priorities such as cybersecurity and public health and constraining U.S. strategic choices.
  • Analysts say today’s polarized politics and protected entitlements rule out past playbooks, pointing instead to modest tax increases, measured entitlement changes, restored IRS capacity, and a bipartisan commission to guide action.