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Expanded Home Guarantee Caps Take Effect Oct. 1, Opening Far More Markets to First‑Home Buyers

Cotality modelling points to a sharp rise in eligible areas alongside likely price pressure from added demand.

Overview

  • From October 1, eligible buyers can purchase with a 5% deposit as the Commonwealth guarantees 15% of the loan, allowing them to avoid lenders’ mortgage insurance.
  • Price caps rise to $1.5 million in Sydney, $950,000 in Melbourne, $1 million in Brisbane and $850,000 in Perth, with higher thresholds in most regions and the removal of income limits.
  • Cotality finds the share of analysed markets under the caps jumps from about one-third to 63.1% nationally, including 51.6% of house markets and 93.7% of unit markets.
  • The modelling warns that if recent growth persists, roughly 100 newly accessible suburbs could exceed the new caps within about three months, with examples including Bankstown and Springvale.
  • Economists and industry figures say buyers must still meet lender affordability tests, and they caution the demand-side boost could push prices higher even as it broadens access for those without family financial support.