Overview
- Multiple surveys project the BJP–JD(U)-led NDA comfortably past the 122-seat majority, with ranges broadly around 130–160 and some higher outliers.
- Specific forecasts cited include Matrize at 147–167 seats for the NDA and Dainik Bhaskar at 145–160, with the Mahagathbandhan generally placed near 70–100 seats.
- NDA leaders, including Syed Shahnawaz Hussain and Deputy Chief Minister Vijay Kumar Sinha, cited high turnout and a governance record to express confidence in returning to power.
- Tejashwi Yadav and the Mahagathbandhan dismissed the exit polls as biased, claimed strong ground feedback, and reiterated plans to form government, with Yadav even mentioning a November 18 oath.
- Bihar recorded its highest-ever polling near 67% across the two phases, with women’s turnout reported at 71.6% versus 62.8% for men, and analysts cautioned markets could see short-term volatility if the exit-poll consensus is overturned.