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Exit Polls: Seguro Leads Portuguese Presidential First Round, Runoff Likely With Ventura

Estimates for RTP by Lisbon’s Catholic University put António José Seguro near 30–35%, with André Ventura around 20–24%.

Overview

  • Exit polls indicate Seguro finishes first in the opening round, setting up a likely February 8 runoff.
  • Ventura places second in the estimates, while liberal candidate João Cotrim de Figueiredo polls close behind at roughly 17–21%.
  • Henrique Gouveia e Melo registers about 11–14% in the surveys, and government-backed Luís Marques Mendes posts roughly 8–11%.
  • Eleven candidates were on the ballot as Portuguese voters chose a successor to Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa at the end of his second term.
  • Turnout included 218,000 early votes cast on January 11, with overseas voting at consulates and exit polls released after the Azores closed.