Overview
- Most exit polls place the NDA well past the 122-seat mark, commonly projecting about 130–167 seats, with Axis My India showing a narrower 121–141 range and a 43%–41% vote-share edge over the Mahagathbandhan.
- The Election Commission reported a 66.9% turnout statewide, the highest on record, with women’s participation at 71.6% compared to 62.8% for men.
- NDA leaders welcomed the projections and credited development under Nitish Kumar and strong support from women; the Matrize poll estimated about 65% of women backed the NDA.
- Tejashwi Yadav rejected the surveys as politically driven, alleged they were engineered under BJP influence, cited an increase of about 72 lakh voters as a sign of anti-incumbency, and said his alliance expects to form the government.
- Pollsters generally see minimal seat impact for Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj (often 0–5 seats), and several outlets caution that Bihar exit polls have missed the mark before, notably in 2020.