Overview
- Matrize’s exit poll of 66,087 respondents (Nov 6–11; ±3%) estimates the NDA at 147–167 seats on 48% vote, clearing the 122-seat majority mark.
- The poll finds 65% of women supporting the NDA versus 27% for the Mahagathbandhan, with men at 52% to 36% in the NDA’s favor.
- Regionally, the NDA leads in Angika, Bhojpur, Magadh and Mithilanchal, while the MGB holds a narrow edge in Seemanchal.
- Multiple pollsters, including P-Marq, also forecast an NDA victory; Jan Suraaj is pegged near 5% vote and 0–2 seats, and AIMIM at 2–3 seats.
- Analysts note the recent removal of about 65 lakh names from electoral rolls and turnout near 67% as reasons to read exit polls cautiously until the official count.