Overview
- Most surveys place the BJP–JD(U) NDA comfortably beyond the 122-seat mark in the 243-member assembly, generally ranging from about 130 to 167 seats as the Mahagathbandhan is projected near 70 to 108.
- Matrize’s exit poll of roughly 66,000 respondents estimates 147–167 seats for the NDA with 48% vote share and 70–90 for the Mahagathbandhan with 37%.
- Statewide turnout reached about 66.9%–67.1% across the two phases, with women’s participation setting records and exceeding 74% in the second phase.
- BJP and NDA leaders welcomed the projections as an endorsement of governance and welfare delivery, while Congress and RJD leaders rejected them and asserted Tejashwi Yadav will lead the next government.
- Exit polls broadly predict a weak debut for Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party, typically at 0–5 seats, with official counting scheduled for November 14.