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51m ago

Exit Polls Point to NDA Lead in Bihar, Axis My India Sees Narrower Edge

Votes will be counted on November 14 after a record turnout, with parties issuing sharply different readings of the projections.

Voters wait in a queue to cast their vote for the second phase of the Bihar assembly election, in Jehanabad on Tuesday. (ANI Photo) (ANI)
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People watch exit polls on TV sets at a showroom after the second phase of the Bihar assembly elections, in Patna on Tuesday.
The voter turnout in the final round stood at 68.94%, according to the Election Commission of India.

Overview

  • Axis My India projects the NDA at 121–141 seats versus 98–118 for the Mahagathbandhan, estimating a 43% vote share for the NDA to 41% for the opposition.
  • Several other surveys forecast a larger NDA cushion, including Matrize at 147–167 and Today’s Chanakya at 160 for the NDA, underscoring wide variation across pollsters.
  • Axis My India’s party split points to the RJD as the single-largest party and shows Tejashwi Yadav as the top chief ministerial preference, even as the NDA is projected ahead in seats.
  • NDA leaders thanked voters and predicted a strong mandate, while RJD and Congress figures rejected the surveys as biased and said the official count will validate their claims.
  • Turnout was reported at record/high levels across both phases, with some assessments noting stronger female participation, and most polls expect little to no seat gains for Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj.