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40m ago

Exit Polls Point to NDA Lead in Bihar as Axis My India Tips RJD as Largest Party

Results are due November 14 after a record turnout that pollsters say featured strong support from women for the NDA.

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People watch exit polls on TV sets at a showroom after the second phase of the Bihar assembly elections, in Patna on Tuesday.
The voter turnout in the final round stood at 68.94%, according to the Election Commission of India.
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Overview

  • Most exit polls released after the second voting phase project the NDA crossing the 122-seat majority in the 243-member Assembly, with several surveys placing its range roughly between 130 and 167 seats.
  • Axis My India’s new survey forecasts a closer contest, giving the NDA 121–141 seats and the Mahagathbandhan 98–118, while projecting the RJD as the single-largest party with 67–76 seats.
  • Axis My India estimates a 43% vote share for the NDA against 41% for the Mahagathbandhan and 4% for Jan Suraaj, and reports Tejashwi Yadav as the top CM preference among respondents.
  • NDA leaders welcomed the projections and highlighted governance and employment messaging, as pollster Matrize credited a strong consolidation of women voters; women’s participation was reported higher than men in turnout data cited by media.
  • Opposition leaders, including Tejashwi Yadav and Congress figures, rejected the exit polls as biased and asserted they expect victory when votes are counted on November 14, while most surveys predict few or no seats for Jan Suraaj.