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44m ago

Exit Polls Point to NDA Edge in Bihar Ahead of Vote Count

A new Axis My India estimate narrows the race ahead of Friday’s official results.

Bihar election result 2025 date: Voters wait in a queue to cast their vote for the second phase of the Bihar assembly election, in Jehanabad on Tuesday.
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People watch exit polls on TV sets at a showroom after the second phase of the Bihar assembly elections, in Patna on Tuesday.

Overview

  • Most post-voting surveys project the NDA crossing the 122-seat majority in the 243-member Assembly, though seat ranges vary widely across agencies.
  • Axis My India estimates 121–141 seats for the NDA and 98–118 for the Mahagathbandhan, and indicates the RJD could emerge as the single-largest party.
  • Several other pollsters forecast a larger NDA lead, including Matrize-IANS at 147–167 and Today’s Chanakya at around 160, underscoring methodological divergence.
  • Opposition leaders led by the RJD and Congress reject the projections as biased and claim they will prevail, while BJP and NDA leaders thank voters and predict a return to power.
  • Bihar recorded its highest-ever turnout at roughly 66.9–67.14%, and most polls see Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj making little to no seat gains; counting is scheduled for November 14.