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Exit Polls Point to Comfortable NDA Return in Bihar as Counting Nears

Official counting on November 14 will test the exit-poll consensus.

Overview

  • Multiple surveys, including Matrize, P-Marq and People’s Pulse, project the NDA comfortably past the 122-seat majority, with ranges broadly around 130–167 seats.
  • Bihar recorded near-record turnout across the two phases at roughly 67–69%, with women outvoting men in both rounds.
  • BJP leaders expressed confidence, with Syed Shahnawaz Hussain citing voter support for continuity, development and Nitish Kumar’s governance.
  • RJD’s Tejashwi Yadav and Congress rejected the projections, claimed high turnout indicates a desire for change, and asserted the INDIA bloc will form the government.
  • Exit polls widely predict a weak showing for Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj at 0–5 seats, while market analysts flag potential volatility if results diverge from the polling picture.