Overview
- The Met Office says a deepening Atlantic low tied to Melissa’s remnants will bring rain and coastal gales from Monday with an unsettled pattern through the week.
- The Environment Agency warns of possible surface-water and river flooding in parts of England from Monday to Wednesday and widespread coastal flooding risk on southern and western coasts on Wednesday and Thursday, with potential travel disruption.
- Model guidance largely favors a track to the northwest of the UK between Scotland and Iceland, though a minority of runs bring the low farther south, reducing the chance of the most severe impacts.
- A separate Atlantic low could also develop and affect the UK with strong winds and outbreaks of rain, particularly across western areas, according to the Met Office.
- Officials emphasize the UK will not see hurricane conditions as the system is heavily modified compared with the catastrophic phase seen in the Caribbean.