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Euskadi Faces Projected 20,000-Worker Shortfall by 2036

Low birth rates alongside a steadily ageing population are outpacing workforce replenishment, posing a serious threat to regional development.

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Overview

  • Laboral Kutxa’s Horizon 2036 report forecasts a gap of at least 20,000 workers in Euskadi within the next decade.
  • Seven out of nine demographic scenarios indicate that labour supply will fall short even under optimistic assumptions.
  • The report identifies declining birth rates and an ageing workforce as the primary drivers of future shortages.
  • Raising the retirement age to 69 is expected to mitigate some of the shortfall but will not eliminate it.
  • Analysts caution that increased immigration alone would be insufficient to fully address the impending labour deficit.