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3d ago

Eurozone Inflation Returns to 2% as France Slows to 0.8%, Supporting ECB Rate Hold

Preliminary December readings point to energy-led disinflation across the bloc, with core price growth easing to 2.3%.

Une personne consulte son ticket de caisse dans un supermarché. Image d'illustration.
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La BCE doit passer en revue ses taux directeurs début février
Évolution des prix à la consommation en France, en glissement annuel (%)

Overview

  • Eurostat’s flash estimate shows euro-area consumer prices rising 2.0% year on year in December, down from 2.1% in November.
  • Underlying inflation eased slightly to 2.3% year on year, signaling a gradual moderation in price pressures beyond volatile components.
  • Energy prices fell 1.9% across the currency union versus a 0.5% drop in November, providing the main pull on the headline rate.
  • In France, INSEE’s provisional data show CPI up 0.8% year on year and HICP up 0.7%, with energy down 6.8%, food up 1.7%, and a 0.1% monthly rise; final figures arrive January 15.
  • Economists say the readings support the ECB keeping rates unchanged at its early-February meeting, with the main rate at 2% since June 2025, as national outcomes range from Cyprus at 0.1% to Estonia and Slovakia at 4.1%.