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Europeans See High Risk of War With Russia as Defense Confidence Falters

The nine-country Cluster17 survey signals rising demand for EU-level protection.

Overview

  • Across France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Poland, Portugal, Croatia, Belgium and the Netherlands, 51% say the risk of Russia going to war with their country is high or very high.
  • Sixty-nine percent of respondents believe their nation could not defend itself against Russian aggression.
  • Perceived danger varies widely, with 77% in Poland seeing high risk compared with 34% in Italy.
  • Forty‑eight percent view US President Donald Trump as an enemy of Europe, yet the most popular stance toward Washington is compromise at 48%.
  • Support for EU membership stands at 74% across the sample, and 63% judge Brexit to have harmed the United Kingdom.