Overview

• European leaders, including Ursula von der Leyen and Mette Frederiksen, have pledged increased defense spending and support for Ukraine, but questions remain about their ability to act without US backing.
• Donald Trump has signaled a reduced US role in European security and Ukraine, focusing on economic interests rather than military guarantees.
• The UK and France are deepening military ties and exploring a potential 'coalition of the willing' for peacekeeping in Ukraine, though challenges in coordination and US absence loom large.
• Peace talks led by the US in Saudi Arabia resulted in Ukraine's willingness to accept a temporary ceasefire, but Russia's commitment to a deal remains uncertain.
• European nations face the dilemma of risking NATO unity and their own security by acting independently, with discussions of alternative frameworks like extending France's nuclear deterrent to the EU.