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European Commanders Warn of a Gray-Zone Threat as Calls Grow for Societal Readiness

Fresh warnings are colliding with a divided public mood across Europe.

Overview

  • France’s armed forces chief Gen. Fabien Mandon urged the country to be ready to “accept losing our children,” prompting swift political pushback from figures including Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
  • NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte and Britain’s Air Chief Marshal Sir Richard Knighton said security cannot rest on the military alone and pressed for whole-of-society preparation.
  • A December poll across nine countries showed sharp east–west splits, with 77% of Poles seeing a high risk of war versus 34% of Italians, and an average 69% doubting their nation could defend itself.
  • Officials cite continued gray-zone pressure—such as Baltic cable incidents and airspace probes—yet Estonia’s spy chief argues Russia still respects NATO if European investment in defense endures.
  • European rearmament is accelerating, bolstered by Sweden and Finland joining NATO, growing defense budgets, and deeper industry collaboration even as transatlantic politics grow more strained.