Overview

• Nine climate models from Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) and MPI-M project a summer heat anomaly of +0.5°C to +2°C across Europe, with significant uncertainty around rainfall patterns.
• Germany experienced its driest February–March on record, with a 68% rainfall deficit, heightening concerns about water scarcity and agricultural stress.
• North Atlantic sea-surface temperature anomalies, identified as a reliable early warning signal, suggest an elevated likelihood of extreme heat events this summer.
• Europe has warmed at twice the global average over the past decade, with 2024 being the hottest year on record and heatwaves becoming increasingly frequent.
• Experts warn of health risks, including heat-related mortality spikes, and potential crop failures, underscoring the need for urgent adaptation measures.