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Euro Zone Inflation Returns to 2% in December as Energy Costs Fall

The ECB is holding policy steady ahead of a Feb. 5 meeting under its data‑dependent approach.

Overview

  • Eurostat’s flash estimate matched forecasts at 2.0% for December, easing from 2.1% in November.
  • Core inflation slowed to 2.3% year over year, and services inflation cooled to 3.4%.
  • Falling energy prices pulled headline inflation lower, offsetting a pickup in food costs.
  • The ECB left its deposit rate unchanged in December after cuts from a 2024 peak of 4%, maintaining a meeting‑by‑meeting stance.
  • Markets see scope for further easing in 2026 as inflation could slip below target, though officials signal no rush to change policy and the next decision comes on Feb. 5.