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EU–Mercosur Pact Set for Saturday Signing After Lula’s Rio Meeting With EU Leaders

A no-confidence vote scheduled in the European Parliament next week could slow ratification even if ministers sign the agreement.

Overview

  • Ministers are due to sign the accord on January 17 in Asunción, with Brazil represented by Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira as President Lula skips the ceremony.
  • The European Union approved the text by qualified majority on January 9, with France, Austria, Hungary, Ireland and Poland opposing during the process.
  • Parliamentary leaders set a January 21 no-confidence vote targeting the European Commission over the deal, a step that could pause final ratification pending a Court of Justice ruling.
  • Farm protests in Europe continue, including a potato-dumping action in central Brussels whose organizer was detained and faces investigation.
  • The pact links markets of roughly 720 million people, phases out tariffs on about 90% of goods, embeds sustainability and due‑diligence obligations with safeguard clauses, and is projected by Brazil’s vice president to take effect in the second half of 2026 after legislative approvals.