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EU Unveils Three-Option Plan to Fund Ukraine, Pledges Shield for Belgium on Russian Assets

EU leaders target a December decision to enable payouts by early Q2 2026.

Overview

  • Commission President Ursula von der Leyen outlined support via member-state grants, EU borrowing, or a limited‑recourse loan tied to cash balances from immobilised Russian assets held largely at Euroclear.
  • Brussels projects Ukraine’s external needs at €71.7 billion in 2026 and €64 billion in 2027, totaling €135.7 billion, with IMF-based planning that assumes the war could end by late 2026.
  • The Commission offered guarantees to protect Belgium against legal and financial risks, including exposure under bilateral investment treaties, and said coverage would continue even after asset immobilisation ends.
  • Euroclear’s chief said the depository may challenge any confiscation order in court and warned of financial and reputational risks, noting its expanded legal team since 2022.
  • France conditioned any asset-based loan on compliance with international law and a European procurement preference, Hungary signaled opposition, and the Commission floated alternatives including a grant package of about €90 billion.