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EU Shelves 2040 Climate Vote After France and Germany Join Blocking Minority

The delay raises the prospect of arriving at COP30 without a single emissions figure.

Des drapeaux de l'Union européenne à Bruxelles, le 18 décembre 2024
Paris, en attente de compatibilité avec la compétitivité industrielle, s'oppose à l'accord du 18 septembre. Ici à Lanester, dans le Morbihan, en mai 2025.

Overview

  • Denmark canceled the 18 September environment ministers’ vote on the 2040 target, keeping only a discussion to prepare a higher-level debate.
  • France and Germany joined Poland and Italy in requesting a postponement, forming a blocking minority and pushing the issue toward an October leaders’ summit.
  • The European Commission’s proposal to cut emissions 90% from 1990 levels by 2040 lacks a qualified majority, with Hungary, Poland and the Czech Republic resisting despite a July offer to allow up to 3% international carbon credits.
  • The setback threatens timely agreement on a 2035 trajectory required under the Paris process, and diplomats say the EU may go to Belém with a reduction range rather than a fixed number.
  • Danish officials now aim for a deal before year-end, as Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra maintains the bloc will still present an ambitious international offer.