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EU Seals 2040 Climate Goal, Allowing Foreign Credits and 2028 Fuel-ETS Start

The compromise introduces flexibility that supporters call pragmatic, which critics say could dilute cuts.

Overview

  • EU negotiators set a binding target to cut greenhouse gases 90% from 1990 levels by 2040, with formal approval by Parliament and member states expected.
  • Up to five percentage points may be met with international credits from 2036, effectively requiring about 85% domestic cuts, with lawmakers pushing for strict quality criteria.
  • The expansion of carbon pricing to road fuels and building heat is delayed one year to 2028 to curb price shocks, a move economists warn could necessitate higher prices later.
  • The deal includes biennial reviews of progress and competitiveness, with reporting that targets could be adjusted if forest and peatland sinks underperform.
  • A new CDRterra report says Germany’s 2045 neutrality needs large-scale CO2 removal, notes current global removals of about 2.2 gigatons a year, and urges clear rules, MRV, and CO2 transport and storage infrastructure.