Overview
- Brussels’ first annual migration assessment classifies Greece, Cyprus, Spain and Italy as under pressure, giving them access to relocations once the new system starts in June 2026.
- Germany is placed in a risk category and, by crediting prior Dublin cases as responsibility offsets, can request not to take relocated migrants or make financial or material payments through end‑2026.
- The proposal sets a baseline of at least 30,000 relocations per year and €600 million in financial contributions, with confidential national benchmarks and options to contribute money or support instead of people.
- Austria, Poland, Bulgaria, Czechia, Estonia and Croatia are deemed in an ‘accentuated’ situation and may seek partial or full relief from solidarity duties, while Poland and Hungary have signaled they will not participate.
- Berlin welcomes the assessment; Commissioner Magnus Brunner cites a 35% drop in irregular migration and previews tighter external‑border procedures when the GEAS reform takes effect in mid‑2026.