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EU Faces Economic Uncertainty with Trump Presidency Looming

The European Commission warns of potential trade tensions as it revises growth forecasts for the Eurozone.

Overview

  • The European Commission has adjusted its growth forecast for the Eurozone to 0.8% for 2024 and 1.3% for 2025, reflecting cautious optimism amid geopolitical uncertainties.
  • Germany is expected to experience a slight economic contraction of 0.1% in 2024, with a modest recovery projected at 0.7% growth in 2025.
  • Inflation rates in the Eurozone are anticipated to decrease, aligning closer to the European Central Bank's target of 2% by 2025.
  • The potential for a trade conflict with the United States under Donald Trump's presidency poses a significant risk to EU economies, particularly impacting Germany and Italy.
  • EU officials emphasize the need for structural reforms and investment to enhance competitiveness and navigate geopolitical challenges.